Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 76906.308451 81256.604343 85609.501171 90288.643045 95173.005807 100117.984970 105499.562735
2025-03-16 69250.664247 75860.877666 82664.826416 90181.707784 98243.424384 106619.910711 115971.399386
2025-03-23 64854.671111 73083.565638 81742.059551 91511.318861 102206.406569 113538.250205 126431.503572
2025-03-30 61213.617606 70643.341510 80749.955657 92354.182348 105274.998667 119184.976959 135256.622883
2025-04-06 57790.647380 68118.753065 79370.121118 92488.363113 107311.827440 123491.442798 142433.673782
2025-04-13 54756.222200 65797.397240 78004.728927 92435.551291 108958.701347 127215.760457 148840.892460
2025-04-20 52928.003553 64706.779934 77902.488264 93693.934364 111986.340083 132416.418208 156862.740438
2025-04-27 51301.464324 63734.641807 77835.193978 94901.514386 114882.976792 137419.595342 164637.300037
2025-05-04 49505.563978 62459.281939 77323.336536 95508.458317 117016.154018 141499.501408 171326.120527
2025-05-11 47561.910412 60911.737649 76404.958669 95557.255620 118429.263851 144696.284618 176960.841918
2025-05-18 45893.902399 59618.224223 75718.263503 95816.332062 120037.211095 148083.796431 182800.128486
2025-05-25 44310.355831 58358.319546 75009.654637 95991.853199 121498.931330 151267.599658 188385.031393
2025-06-01 43378.549172 57880.664162 75239.469996 97307.116693 124353.096411 156149.928771 196065.947670
2025-06-08 41736.214132 56456.844942 74258.863985 97099.279118 125330.149549 158772.637754 201049.164511
2025-06-15 40982.119485 56119.404914 74593.485162 98490.751124 128249.717822 163738.798756 208879.076429
2025-06-22 40041.059717 55503.619309 74547.043556 99381.036995 130535.639426 167934.088066 215790.481901
2025-06-29 38809.513423 54468.174182 73931.882117 99522.530098 131865.943878 170948.475409 221262.435935
2025-07-06 37558.039311 53363.267956 73188.990802 99466.293525 132920.440416 173606.539796 226293.547266
2025-07-13 36991.648622 53135.537116 73550.357527 100801.587148 135718.977817 178425.604270 234014.349090
2025-07-20 36434.052582 52896.587738 73879.197399 102082.814774 138446.069416 183165.133565 241662.948992
2025-07-27 35636.150183 52307.916869 73729.372429 102726.708727 140350.524783 186877.177538 248045.754205
2025-08-03 34631.824585 51408.537953 73143.760935 102778.474530 141477.543583 189604.007588 253198.114828
2025-08-10 33764.282589 50668.703584 72744.751189 103053.308525 142877.253078 192669.810320 258785.027997